Hailee Steinfeld to perform as Kate Bishop in Avengers
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY.
Price history
64¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Hailee Steinfeld performs / is announced as Kate Bishop in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang? 93¢
Range
8¢-93¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HAI
Jun 24, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
63¢
Ask
64¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
63 / 64¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Hailee Steinfeld performs / is announced as Kate Bishop in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HAI
Event family
KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang? 93¢
Current share
0%
Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-KET
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HUG
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-RYA
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BEN
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOB
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-IMA
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HAI
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BRI
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-TOM
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-GWY
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-XOC
Halle Berry as Storm?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-HAL
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-MAR
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JONF
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-EVA
Jonathan Majors as Kang?
kalshi · KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-JON
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.