Benson Boone · KX1SONG-DEC2626
Benson Boone is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KX1SONG-DEC2626.
Price history
16¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Benson Boone has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Benson Boone
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Mariah Carey 87¢
Range
2¢-87¢
Family volume
$538
Identifier
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEN
Jun 25, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$118
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · KX1SONG-DEC2626
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Family volume
$538
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Benson Boone has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Identifier
KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEN
Event family
KX1SONG-DEC2626.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$538
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Mariah Carey 87¢
Current share
22%
Mariah Carey
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-MAR
Post Malone
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-POS
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-KEN
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BIL
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-JUS
Gracie Abrams
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-GRA
The Weeknd
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-WEE
Travis Scott
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-TRA
Benson Boone
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEN
KATSEYE
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-KAT
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-KAN
Ed Sheeran
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ED
Rihanna
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-RIH
J Balvin
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-JBA
Rauw Alejandro
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-RUA
Eminem
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-EMI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.