SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 20301333 days left

Will Blake Lively be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?

This contract is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

14¢
$11K volume
$6K liquidity
8962% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$121

Best sibling

Cara Delevingne 17¢

Ticker

KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-BLA

Market snapshot

Blake Lively in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Blake Lively be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $11K. In the KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01 family, this outcome ranks #15 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Blake Lively

Family rank

#15 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

14¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2030

Reported volume

$11K

Family context

16 outcomes · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01

Quote range

3¢-67¢

Family leader

Selena Gomez 67¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-BLA. Family volume: $121.

Price history

14¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 13¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
9¢43
8¢166
6¢444
5¢70
4¢500
AskSize
13¢5
14¢69
15¢67
16¢100
17¢650

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Blake Lively served as a Bridesmaid at the wedding ceremony of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift that occurred before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2030

Identifier

KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-BLA

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 50¢, -36¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

276.8%

IY (No)

2.7%

Adj IY

138%

CRI

10

Overround

4.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

276.8%
2.7%
Adj IY
138%
10
Overround
4.8%

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