Ashley Avignone · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01
Ashley Avignone is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01.
Price history
71¢ current
Contract brief
If Ashley Avignone served as a Bridesmaid at the wedding ceremony of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift that occurred before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ashley Avignone
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Abigail Anderson (Berard) 81¢
Range
2¢-81¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-ASH
Jun 23, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
79¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$6
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
79 / 80¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ashley Avignone served as a Bridesmaid at the wedding ceremony of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift that occurred before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Identifier
KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-ASH
Event family
KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Abigail Anderson (Berard) 81¢
Current share
18%
Abigail Anderson (Berard)
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-ABI
Ashley Avignone
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-ASH
Selena Gomez
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-SEL
Este Haim
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-EST
Kylie Kelce
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-KYL
Gigi Hadid
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-GIG
Alana Haim
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-ALA
Zoë Kravitz
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-ZOE
Danielle Haim
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-DAN
Cara Delevingne
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-CAR
Emma Stone
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-EMM
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-SAB
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-LAN
Blake Lively
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-BLA
Brittany Mahomes
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-BRI
Ice Spice
kalshi · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-ICE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.