SimpleFunctions

Zoë Kravitz · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01

Zoë Kravitz is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01.

Price history

20¢ current

8¢
25¢
May 25, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Zoë Kravitz served as a Bridesmaid at the wedding ceremony of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift that occurred before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Zoë Kravitz

Rank

#9 of 16

Leader

Abigail Anderson (Berard) 82¢

Range

2¢-82¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-ZOE

Jun 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

24h volume

$32

Family rank

#9 of 16

16 outcomes · KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01

Closes

Jan 1, 2030

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 20¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
19¢13
17¢58
16¢25
15¢68
14¢85
AskSize
20¢7
22¢10
26¢8
27¢108
29¢43

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Zoë Kravitz served as a Bridesmaid at the wedding ceremony of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift that occurred before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2030

Identifier

KXTAYLORSWIFTWEDDING-30JAN01-ZOE

SF Signal
SF Index
60.46
Regime
maker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

120.9%

IY (No)

6.7%

Adj IY

60%

CRI

4

Overround

4.6%

Regime

maker

Score

0.295

Observability

none

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

120.9%
6.7%
Adj IY
60%
4
Overround
4.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.