Brent Taylor · KXTNPRIMARY-09R26
Brent Taylor is priced at 73¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXTNPRIMARY-09R26.
Price history
73¢ current
+71¢Contract brief
If Brent Taylor wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TN-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Brent Taylor
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Brent Taylor 72¢
Range
1¢-72¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-09R26-BTAY
May 24, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
72¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$208
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXTNPRIMARY-09R26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
72 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Brent Taylor wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 TN-09 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXTNPRIMARY-09R26-BTAY
Event family
KXTNPRIMARY-09R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Brent Taylor 72¢
Current share
8%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 73% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.