SimpleFunctions

Bryce Harper and Ben Rice · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26

Bryce Harper and Ben Rice is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26.

Price history

3¢ current

+1¢
0¢5¢
Jul 10, 2026Jul 10, 2026

Contract brief

If Bryce Harper and Ben Rice is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bryce Harper and Ben Rice

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero 8¢

Range

1¢-8¢

Family volume

$91K

Identifier

KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3BRICE22

Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26

Closes

Jul 21, 2026

Family volume

$91K

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 3¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.3K
2¢7.5K
AskSize
3¢19K
4¢3.0K
5¢11K
6¢5.0K
87¢15

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bryce Harper and Ben Rice is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 21, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3BRICE22

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$91K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero 8¢

Current share

2%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAMINERO13

8¢
$7K$3K0.1

Munetaka Murakami and Kyle Schwarber

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5KSCHWARBER12

7¢
$4K$2K

Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAGLIANONE14

5¢
$14K$4K0.2

Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BHARPER3

5¢
$7K$4K0.2

Kyle Schwarber and Ben Rice

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BRICE22

5¢
$6K$6K

Munetaka Murakami and Junior Caminero

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5JCAMINERO13

5¢
$991$929

Bryce Harper and Jac Caglianone

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3JCAGLIANONE14

3¢
$7K$443

Junior Caminero and Jordan Walker

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13JWALKER18

3¢
$6K$178

Jac Caglianone and Jordan Walker

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAGLIANONE14JWALKER18

3¢
$5K$0

Junior Caminero and Ben Rice

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13BRICE22

3¢
$4K$4K

Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3WCONTRERAS40

2¢
$7K$7K

Willson Contreras and Jordan Walker

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-WCONTRERAS40JWALKER18

2¢
$7K$0

Bryce Harper and Ben Rice

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3BRICE22

2¢
$2K$2K

Jac Caglianone and Willson Contreras

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAGLIANONE14WCONTRERAS40

2¢
$780$780

Ben Rice and Willson Contreras

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BRICE22WCONTRERAS40

1¢
$8K$412

Munetaka Murakami and Willson Contreras

kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5WCONTRERAS40

1¢
$7K$7K

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.