Junior Caminero and Ben Rice · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26
Junior Caminero and Ben Rice is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26.
Price history
3¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Junior Caminero and Ben Rice is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Junior Caminero and Ben Rice
Rank
#8 of 16
Leader
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero 7¢
Range
1¢-7¢
Family volume
$118K
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13BRICE22
Jul 13, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#8 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Family volume
$118K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Junior Caminero and Ben Rice is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13BRICE22
Event family
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$118K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero 7¢
Current share
4%
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAMINERO13
Munetaka Murakami and Kyle Schwarber
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5KSCHWARBER12
Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAGLIANONE14
Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BHARPER3
Kyle Schwarber and Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BRICE22
Munetaka Murakami and Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5JCAMINERO13
Junior Caminero and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13JCAGLIANONE14
Bryce Harper and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3JCAGLIANONE14
Jac Caglianone and Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAGLIANONE14JWALKER18
Junior Caminero and Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13JWALKER18
Junior Caminero and Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13BRICE22
Bryce Harper and Willson Contreras
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3WCONTRERAS40
Willson Contreras and Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-WCONTRERAS40JWALKER18
Bryce Harper and Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3BRICE22
Munetaka Murakami and Willson Contreras
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5WCONTRERAS40
Ben Rice and Willson Contreras
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BRICE22WCONTRERAS40
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.