Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26
Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26.
Price history
7¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero 9¢
Range
2¢-9¢
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BHARPER3
Jul 12, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper is the matchup for the final round of the 2026 Home Run Derby, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 21, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BHARPER3
Event family
KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero 9¢
Current share
29%
Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAMINERO13
Munetaka Murakami and Kyle Schwarber
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5KSCHWARBER12
Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BHARPER3
Kyle Schwarber and Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12BRICE22
Kyle Schwarber and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JCAGLIANONE14
Munetaka Murakami and Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5JCAMINERO13
Junior Caminero and Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13JWALKER18
Junior Caminero and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13JCAGLIANONE14
Kyle Schwarber and Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12JWALKER18
Bryce Harper and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3JCAGLIANONE14
Bryce Harper and Junior Caminero
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3JCAMINERO13
Junior Caminero and Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-JCAMINERO13BRICE22
Munetaka Murakami and Jac Caglianone
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-MMURAKAMI5JCAGLIANONE14
Ben Rice and Jordan Walker
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BRICE22JWALKER18
Kyle Schwarber and Willson Contreras
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-KSCHWARBER12WCONTRERAS40
Bryce Harper and Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBHRDERBYMATCHUP-26-BHARPER3BRICE22
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 7% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.