Bryce Harper · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Bryce Harper is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
Price history
72¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Bryce Harper records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bryce Harper
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Pete Crow-Armstrong 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BHARPER3
Aug 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 31m ago
Implied probability
Bid
66¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$136
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
66 / 72¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bryce Harper records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BHARPER3
Event family
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Pete Crow-Armstrong 98¢
Current share
10%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BLOWE5
Rafael Devers
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-RDEVERS16
Colson Montgomery
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-CMONTGOMERY12
Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BHARPER3
Manny Machado
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-MMACHADO13
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ABREGMAN3
Elly De La Cruz
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-EDELACRUZ44
Eugenio Suárez
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ESUAREZ28
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-AJUDGE99
Tyler Soderstrom
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-TSODERSTROM21
Corey Seager
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-CSEAGER5
Kyle Tucker
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-KTUCKER23
Jackson Chourio
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-JCHOURIO11
Ronald Acuña Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-RACUNA13
Fernando Tatis Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-FTATIS23
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.