Pete Crow-Armstrong · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Pete Crow-Armstrong is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
Price history
50¢ current
+44¢Contract brief
If Pete Crow-Armstrong records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Matt Olson 78¢
Range
3¢-78¢
Family volume
$527
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Jun 23, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
48¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$222
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Family volume
$527
Orderbook snapshot
48 / 51¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Pete Crow-Armstrong records 30+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Event family
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$527
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Matt Olson 78¢
Current share
42%
Matt Olson
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-MOLSON28
Ben Rice
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BRICE22
Pete Alonso
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PALONSO25
Bryce Harper
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BHARPER3
Pete Crow-Armstrong
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-PCROWARMSTRONG4
Aaron Judge
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-AJUDGE99
Zach Neto
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ZNETO9
Brandon Lowe
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BLOWE5
Brent Rooker
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BROOKER25
Oneil Cruz
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-OCRUZ15
Austin Riley
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ARILEY27
Tyler Soderstrom
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-TSODERSTROM21
Bobby Witt Jr.
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BWITT7
Brice Turang
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-BTURANG2
Alex Bregman
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-ABREGMAN3
Vinnie Pasquantino
kalshi · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C30-VPASQUANTINO9
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 50% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.