Calvin Harris · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Calvin Harris is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
Price history
39¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Calvin Harris releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Calvin Harris
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Offset 64¢
Range
1¢-64¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-CAL
Sep 17, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
46¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$6K
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 46¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Calvin Harris releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-CAL
Event family
KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Offset 64¢
Current share
0%
Offset
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-OFF
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TAY
Camilo
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-CAM
Travis Scott
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TRA
Tate McRae
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TAT
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-KEN
Calvin Harris
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-CAL
Polo G
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-POL
Grimes
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-GRI
Mariah Carey
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-MAR
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-BAD
Doja Cat
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-DOJ
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-WEE
Jay-Z
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-JAY
Rihanna
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-RIH
Tyler, The Creator
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TYLE
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.