SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 3, 202692 days left

Will Canada qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$24 volume
$24 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$1K

Best sibling

France 38¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26SEMI-CAN

Price history

5¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 7¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
100¢275
3¢4.0K
2¢4.0K
AskSize
7¢4.0K
8¢4.0K
9¢55
29¢165
35¢15

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Canada is one of the teams to qualify for the Semifinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26SEMI-CAN

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

12836.0%

IY (No)

12.3%

Adj IY

6418%

CRI

32

Overround

4.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

12836.0%
12.3%
Adj IY
6418%
32
Overround
4.3%

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