Cape Verde · KXWCQUAL-30
Cape Verde is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXWCQUAL-30.
Price history
69¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Cape Verde qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cape Verde
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Australia 88¢
Range
1¢-88¢
Family volume
$130
Identifier
KXWCQUAL-30-CPV
Jul 23, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
59¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$3
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCQUAL-30
Closes
Jan 15, 2031
Family volume
$130
Orderbook snapshot
59 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cape Verde qualifies for the 2030 Men's FIFA World Cup main tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 15, 2031
Identifier
KXWCQUAL-30-CPV
Event family
KXWCQUAL-30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$130
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Australia 88¢
Current share
2%
Australia
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-AUS
Denmark
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-DEN
Austria
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-AUT
Ukraine
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-UKR
Cape Verde
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-CPV
Scotland
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-SCO
Albania
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-ALB
Ireland
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-IRL
Poland
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-POL
Romania
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-ROU
Slovenia
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-SLO
Wales
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-WAL
Slovakia
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-SVK
Hungary
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-HUN
Northern Ireland
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-NIR
New Caledonia
kalshi · KXWCQUAL-30-NCL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 69% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.