SimpleFunctions

CAVA Group Inc. report Above 470 cava restaurants in Q2 2026

Above 470 is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Will CAVA Group Inc. report.

Price history

97¢ current

+3¢
75¢100¢
May 24, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If CAVA Group Inc. reports Above 470 cava restaurants in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 470

Rank

#1 of 8

Leader

Above 470 92¢

Range

1¢-92¢

Family volume

$940

Identifier

KXCAVA-26AUGREST-470

Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

97¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

92¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

Reported volume

$309

Family rank

#1 of 8

8 outcomes · Will CAVA Group Inc. report

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Family volume

$940

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 98¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
92¢158
91¢200
88¢750
85¢500
80¢750
AskSize
98¢201
99¢350

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If CAVA Group Inc. reports Above 470 cava restaurants in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

KXCAVA-26AUGREST-470

SF Signal
SF Index
5303.89
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

40.1%

IY (No)

5303.9%

Adj IY

5304%

CRI

12

RV

66%

VR

1.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

40.1%
5303.9%
Adj IY
5304%
12
RV
66%
VR
1.04
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
1.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.