SimpleFunctions

CAVA Group Inc. report Above 480 cava restaurants in Q2 2026

Above 480 is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 8 inside Will CAVA Group Inc. report.

Price history

8¢ current

27¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 27, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If CAVA Group Inc. reports Above 480 cava restaurants in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 480

Rank

#7 of 8

Leader

Above 470 92¢

Range

2¢-92¢

Family volume

$400

Identifier

KXCAVA-26AUGREST-480

Jun 26, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

8¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$400

Family rank

#7 of 8

8 outcomes · Will CAVA Group Inc. report

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Family volume

$400

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 9¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
4¢7
3¢200
AskSize
9¢23
10¢165
11¢200
27¢134
28¢212

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If CAVA Group Inc. reports Above 480 cava restaurants in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

KXCAVA-26AUGREST-480

SF Signal
SF Index
5704.16
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11408.3%

IY (No)

19.8%

Adj IY

5704%

CRI

24

Overround

1.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11408.3%
19.8%
Adj IY
5704%
24
Overround
1.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.