Will Cirkul advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Cirkul · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Will Cirkul advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Cirkul is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXWCADS-26JUL19.
Price history
6¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Cirkul aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Cirkul advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Cirkul
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Will Nike advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Nike 64¢
Range
6¢-64¢
Family volume
$63K
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-CIRK
Jul 10, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$256
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCADS-26JUL19
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Family volume
$63K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cirkul aired at least one qualifying advertisement during the official broadcast of 2026 World Cup Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 19, 2027
Identifier
KXWCADS-26JUL19-CIRK
Event family
KXWCADS-26JUL19.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$63K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Will Nike advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Nike 64¢
Current share
0%
Will Nike advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Nike
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-NIKE
Will DoorDash advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: DoorDash
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-DOOR
Will Pepsi advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Pepsi
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-PEPS
Will Gatorade advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gatorade
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GATO
Will Anthropic / Claude advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Anthropic / Claude
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-ANTH
Will Modelo advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Modelo
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-MODE
Will Gemini advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Gemini
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEMI
Will Celsius advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Celsius
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-CELS
Will Amazon advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Amazon
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-AMAZ
Will Walmart advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Walmart
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-WALM
Will Ford advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Ford
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-FORD
Will Geico advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Geico
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-GEIC
Will SpaceX / Starlink advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: SpaceX / Starlink
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-SPAC
Will Skims advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Skims
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-SKIM
Will Tesla advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Tesla
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-TESL
Will Cirkul advertise during the 2026 World Cup Final: Cirkul
kalshi · KXWCADS-26JUL19-CIRK
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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