Deepseek · KXTOPAI-27
Deepseek is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 12 inside KXTOPAI-27.
Price history
7¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Deepseek
Rank
#7 of 12
Leader
OpenAI 37¢
Range
1¢-37¢
Family volume
$164
Identifier
KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-DEPP
Jun 29, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$20K
Family rank
#7 of 12
12 outcomes · KXTOPAI-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$164
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-DEPP
Event family
KXTOPAI-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$164
Outcomes
12
Highest price
OpenAI 37¢
Current share
0%
OpenAI
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-OPEN
xAI
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-XAI
Meta
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-META
Alibaba
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-ALIB
Baidu
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-BAID
Nvidia
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-NVID
Deepseek
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-DEPP
Z.ai
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-ZAI
Mistral
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-MIST
ByteDance
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-BYTE
Moonshot AI
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-MOON
01A1
kalshi · KXTOPAI-27-JAN01-01A1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
scientific
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.