Will Donald Trump meet in person Marjorie Taylor Greene before Jan 1, 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Will Donald Trump meet in person Marjorie Taylor Greene before Jan 1, 2027?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. The 14¢ price reflects extremely low conviction in a Trump-MTG in-person meeting over the next 260 days, despite both figures' prominent roles in Republican politics and frequent proximity at party events.
Analysis
The 14¢ price reflects extremely low conviction in a Trump-MTG in-person meeting over the next 260 days, despite both figures' prominent roles in Republican politics and frequent proximity at party events. The 686.5% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high relative to the modest 3¢ spread and near-zero 24h volume ($0), suggesting either severe illiquidity or market participants pricing in a genuinely unlikely scenario. The recent price uptick from 16¢ to 17¢ combined with modest $1,032.60 open interest indicates thin positioning, making this market vulnerable to sudden repricing if either figure's schedule or political alignment shifts.
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NMTG yes 100