Mohammed bin Salman · Will Donald Trump meet in person
Mohammed bin Salman is priced at 68¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 15 inside Will Donald Trump meet in person.
Price history
68¢ current
−9¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mohammed bin Salman
Rank
#3 of 15
Leader
Andy Burnham 86¢
Range
3¢-86¢
Family volume
$265
Identifier
KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NMBS
Jul 24, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
64¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$8K
Family rank
#3 of 15
15 outcomes · Will Donald Trump meet in person
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$265
Orderbook snapshot
64 / 69¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NMBS
Event family
Will Donald Trump meet in person.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$265
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Andy Burnham 86¢
Current share
0%
Andy Burnham
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-ABUR
Abelardo de la Espriella
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-AESP
Mohammed bin Salman
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NMBS
Peter Thiel
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NPTHI
Vladimir Putin
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NVPUT
Pope Leo XIV
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NPXIV
Jerome Powell
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NJPOW
Kim Jong Un
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NKJU
Reza Pahlavi
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-DJTRPAH
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-DJTGNEW
Bill Clinton
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-BCLI
Marjorie Taylor Greene
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NMTG
Nicolás Maduro
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NNMAD
Tim Walz
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-DJTTWAL
Lai Ching-te
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-LCHI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.