Reza Pahlavi · Will Donald Trump meet in person
Reza Pahlavi is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 15 inside Will Donald Trump meet in person.
Price history
16¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump and Reza Pahlavi meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Reza Pahlavi
Rank
#9 of 15
Leader
Andy Burnham 86¢
Range
3¢-86¢
Family volume
$175
Identifier
KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-DJTRPAH
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$123
Family rank
#9 of 15
15 outcomes · Will Donald Trump meet in person
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$175
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump and Reza Pahlavi meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-DJTRPAH
Event family
Will Donald Trump meet in person.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$175
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Andy Burnham 86¢
Current share
70%
Andy Burnham
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-ABUR
Abelardo de la Espriella
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-AESP
Mohammed bin Salman
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NMBS
Peter Thiel
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NPTHI
Vladimir Putin
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NVPUT
Pope Leo XIV
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NPXIV
Jerome Powell
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NJPOW
Kim Jong Un
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NKJU
Reza Pahlavi
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-DJTRPAH
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-DJTGNEW
Nicolás Maduro
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NNMAD
Marjorie Taylor Greene
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-NMTG
Bill Clinton
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-BCLI
Tim Walz
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-DJTTWAL
Lai Ching-te
kalshi · KXTRUMPMEETING-27JAN01-LCHI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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