Ed Miliband · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27
Ed Miliband is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 15 inside KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27.
Price history
19¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Ed Miliband formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ed Miliband
Rank
#4 of 15
Leader
Pat McFadden 29¢
Range
1¢-29¢
Family volume
$20K
Identifier
KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-EMIL
Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#4 of 15
15 outcomes · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$20K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ed Miliband formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-EMIL
Event family
KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$20K
Outcomes
15
Highest price
Pat McFadden 29¢
Current share
11%
Pat McFadden
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-PCMF
Wes Streeting
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-WSTR
Yvette Cooper
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-YCOO
Ed Miliband
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-EMIL
Shabana Mahmood
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-SMAH
John Healey
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-JHEA
Torsten Bell
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-TBEL
Peter Kyle
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-PKYL
Darren Jones
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-DJON
David Lammy
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-DLAM
Jonathan Reynolds
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-JREY
Liz Kendall
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-LKEN
James Murray
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-JMUR
Douglas Alexander
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-DALE
Anneliese Dodds
kalshi · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-ADOD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.