SimpleFunctions

Wes Streeting · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27

Wes Streeting is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 15 inside KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27.

Price history

50¢ current

+44¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 22, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Wes Streeting

Rank

#2 of 15

Leader

Pat McFadden 29¢

Range

1¢-29¢

Family volume

$20K

Identifier

KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-WSTR

Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

49¢

Spread

30¢

24h volume

$3K

Family rank

#2 of 15

15 outcomes · KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Family volume

$20K

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 49¢

Kalshi
30¢ spread
BidSize
19¢19
18¢127
15¢350
14¢9
12¢851
AskSize
49¢6
52¢21
53¢150
54¢273
68¢443

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 8, 2027

Identifier

KXNEXTCHANCELLOR-27-WSTR

SF Signal
SF Index
240.89
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

963.6%

IY (No)

35.0%

Adj IY

241%

CRI

5

RV

7488%

VR

22.84

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

963.6%
35.0%
Adj IY
241%
5
RV
7488%
VR
22.84
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
-0.3%
LAS
0.75

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.