SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 26, 2026231 days left

Will Eminem have a top 10 song this year?

This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 11¢ spread.

Implied probability

4¢
$287 volume
$183 liquidity
319% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$90

Best sibling

Future 45¢

Ticker

KX10SONG-26-EMI

Market snapshot

Eminem in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Eminem have a top 10 song this year?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $287. In the KX10SONG-26 family, this outcome ranks #13 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Eminem

Family rank

#13 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 26, 2026

Reported volume

$287

Family context

16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 14m ago

Venue identifier: KX10SONG-26-EMI. Family volume: $90.

Price history

4¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 28, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 15¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.5K
4¢343
2¢200
AskSize
15¢200
53¢4
54¢100
72¢200
73¢485

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Eminem has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KX10SONG-26-EMI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3787.5%

IY (No)

6.6%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

24

Overround

15.6%

LAS

2.75

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3787.5%
6.6%
Adj IY
0%
24
Overround
15.6%
LAS
2.75

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