SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 29, 2026234 days left

Will Eminem have a top 20 song this year?

This contract is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 12¢ spread.

Implied probability

21¢
$52 volume
$44 liquidity
82% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$63

Best sibling

Coldplay 5¢

Ticker

KX20SONG-26DEC26-EMI

Market snapshot

Eminem in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Eminem have a top 20 song this year?. The displayed quote is 21¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $52. In the KX20SONG-26DEC26 family, this outcome ranks #11 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Eminem

Family rank

#11 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

21¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 29, 2026

Reported volume

$52

Family context

16 outcomes · KX20SONG-26DEC26

Quote range

5¢-99¢

Family leader

Drake 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago

Venue identifier: KX20SONG-26DEC26-EMI. Family volume: $63.

Price history

21¢ current

+12¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026May 4, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 21¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
100¢726
9¢200
3¢130
AskSize
21¢200
82¢161
83¢49
84¢580
97¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Eminem has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KX20SONG-26DEC26-EMI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1574.2%

IY (No)

15.4%

Adj IY

787%

CRI

10

Overround

14.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1574.2%
15.4%
Adj IY
787%
10
Overround
14.3%

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