SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 14, 2026225 days left

Will Fabio Di Giannantonio be the 2026 MotoGP World Champion?

This contract is priced at 85¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

85¢
$232 volume
$182 liquidity
59% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$391

Best sibling

Marc Marquez 16¢

Ticker

KXMOTOGP-26-FADI

Price history

85¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 3, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 5¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
5¢125
7¢250
96¢5.0K
97¢20
98¢59

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Fabio Di Giannantonio wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 14, 2026

Identifier

KXMOTOGP-26-FADI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

28.6%

IY (No)

919.9%

Adj IY

460%

CRI

6

Overround

0.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

28.6%
919.9%
Adj IY
460%
6
Overround
0.9%

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