SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 2, 202691 days left

Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Round of 16?

This contract is priced at 87¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 74¢ bid, 88¢ ask, 14¢ spread.

Implied probability

87¢
$950 volume
$899 liquidity
332% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$286

Best sibling

USA 47¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26RO16-FRA

Price history

87¢ current

+14¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

74 / 88¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
74¢112
72¢4
66¢12
65¢3
60¢5
AskSize
88¢320
90¢116
94¢53
95¢2.0K
99¢2.8K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If France is one of the teams to qualify for the Round of 16 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26RO16-FRA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

141.0%

IY (No)

1142.3%

Adj IY

926%

CRI

3

RV

118%

VR

1.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

141.0%
1142.3%
Adj IY
926%
3
RV
118%
VR
1.00
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
11.1%
LAS
0.19

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