SimpleFunctions

Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData above $3000 on 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026

Above $3000 is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 12 inside Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData be above $.

Price history

78¢ current

+30¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 11, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData is above $3000 at 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $3000

Rank

#9 of 12

Leader

Above $1750 97¢

Range

26¢-97¢

Family volume

$310

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI1-3000

Jun 25, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

78¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

61¢

Ask

70¢

Spread

24h volume

$24

Family rank

#9 of 12

12 outcomes · Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData be above $

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Family volume

$310

Orderbook snapshot

61 / 70¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
61¢5
60¢1
59¢1.1K
2¢50
AskSize
70¢4
73¢5
83¢17
85¢8
93¢54

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData is above $3000 at 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI1-3000

SF Signal
SF Index
3282.95
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1233.2%

IY (No)

3282.9%

Adj IY

3283%

CRI

2

RV

725%

VR

2.18

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1233.2%
3282.9%
Adj IY
3283%
2
RV
725%
VR
2.18
IAR
1.2/h
Overround
7.3%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.