SimpleFunctions

Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData above $3750 on 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026

Above $3750 is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 43¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 12 inside Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData be above $.

Price history

74¢ current

+72¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 10, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData is above $3750 at 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $3750

Rank

#9 of 12

Leader

Above $1750 97¢

Range

26¢-97¢

Family volume

$323

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI1-3750

Jun 25, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

74¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

43¢

Ask

86¢

Spread

43¢

24h volume

$14

Family rank

#9 of 12

12 outcomes · Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData be above $

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Family volume

$323

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 86¢

Kalshi
43¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
43¢5
42¢1.1K
2¢42
AskSize
86¢116
89¢27
96¢1.0K
98¢54

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData is above $3750 at 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI1-3750

SF Signal
SF Index
2658.15
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2658.2%

IY (No)

1512.8%

Adj IY

2658%

CRI

1

RV

2014%

VR

4.12

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2658.2%
1512.8%
Adj IY
2658%
1
RV
2014%
VR
4.12
IAR
1.2/h
Overround
6.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.