SimpleFunctions

Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData above $3500 on 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026

Above $3500 is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 12 inside Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData be above $.

Price history

71¢ current

+23¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jun 11, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData is above $3500 at 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above $3500

Rank

#7 of 12

Leader

Above $1750 97¢

Range

30¢-97¢

Family volume

$475

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI1-3500

Jun 25, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

71¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

90¢

Spread

30¢

24h volume

$23

Family rank

#7 of 12

12 outcomes · Will Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData be above $

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Family volume

$475

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 90¢

Kalshi
30¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
60¢10
59¢8
45¢1.0K
AskSize
90¢30
92¢12
96¢1.0K
97¢1.0K
99¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Get-in price of the Semi-Final - World Cup Match 101 (AT&T Stadium) on TicketData is above $3500 at 3:00PM ET July 13th, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Identifier

KXWCPRICE-26JULWCSEMI1-3500

SF Signal
SF Index
2963.78
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1317.2%

IY (No)

2963.8%

Adj IY

2964%

CRI

2

RV

1590%

VR

3.57

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1317.2%
2963.8%
Adj IY
2964%
2
RV
1590%
VR
3.57
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
7.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.