D-House, D-Senate · Will House Control
D-House, D-Senate is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Will House Control.
Price history
39¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
D-House, D-Senate
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
D-House, D-Senate 39¢
Range
2¢-39¢
Family volume
$16K
Identifier
KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DD
Jun 26, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · Will House Control
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Family volume
$16K
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DD
Event family
Will House Control.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
D-House, D-Senate 39¢
Current share
30%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.