Indiana · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4
Indiana is priced at 34¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4.
Price history
34¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If Indiana is selected as a top 4 seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Indiana
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Notre Dame 51¢
Range
3¢-51¢
Family volume
$888
Identifier
KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-IND
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$13
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4
Closes
Feb 7, 2027
Family volume
$888
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Indiana is selected as a top 4 seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 7, 2027
Identifier
KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-IND
Event family
KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$888
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Notre Dame 51¢
Current share
0%
Notre Dame
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-ND
Ohio St.
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-OSU
Oregon
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-ORE
Indiana
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-IND
Georgia
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-UGA
Texas Tech
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-TTU
Texas
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-TEX
Miami (FL)
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-MIA
Michigan
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-MICH
Auburn
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-AUB
Alabama
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-ALA
LSU
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-LSU
Oklahoma
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-OKLA
Texas A&M
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-TXAM
Ole Miss
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-MISS
USC
kalshi · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-USC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.