SimpleFunctions

Miami (FL) · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4

Miami (FL) is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4.

Price history

27¢ current

+17¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 3, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Miami (FL) is selected as a top 4 seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Miami (FL)

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

Notre Dame 51¢

Range

3¢-51¢

Family volume

$888

Identifier

KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-MIA

Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

17¢

Ask

31¢

Spread

14¢

24h volume

$583

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Family volume

$888

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 31¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
17¢10
16¢250
10¢57
AskSize
31¢250
44¢86
49¢100
54¢100
59¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Miami (FL) is selected as a top 4 seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-MIA

SF Signal
SF Index
1082.95
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1082.9%

IY (No)

45.4%

Adj IY

1083%

CRI

5

RV

3242%

VR

3.52

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1082.9%
45.4%
Adj IY
1083%
5
RV
3242%
VR
3.52
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
2.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.