SimpleFunctions

LSU · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4

LSU is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4.

Price history

18¢ current

+6¢
0¢25¢50¢
Aug 19, 2026Aug 27, 2026

Contract brief

If LSU is selected as a top 4 seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

LSU

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

Notre Dame 50¢

Range

2¢-50¢

Family volume

$805

Identifier

KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-LSU

Aug 27, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

18¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

Ask

19¢

Spread

14¢

Reported volume

$17

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Family volume

$805

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 19¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
5¢5
4¢250
AskSize
19¢250
44¢100
49¢100
54¢100
56¢589

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If LSU is selected as a top 4 seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFTOPSEED-27T4-LSU

SF Signal
SF Index
2109.31
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4218.6%

IY (No)

11.7%

Adj IY

2109%

CRI

19

Overround

2.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4218.6%
11.7%
Adj IY
2109%
19
Overround
2.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.