Dot Plot Omitted · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that
Dot Plot Omitted is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that.
Price history
52¢ current
+49¢Contract brief
If a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dot Plot Omitted
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
Presser Skipped 53¢
Range
2¢-53¢
Family volume
$40
Identifier
KXFEDREFORM-27-DPLO
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
52¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$35
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$40
Orderbook snapshot
52 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a Summary of Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXFEDREFORM-27-DPLO
Event family
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$40
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Presser Skipped 53¢
Current share
87%
Presser Skipped
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-PRES
Dot Plot Omitted
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-DPLO
Trimmed Mean Emphasized
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-TMEA
Reserve President Rejected
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-REJE
Reserve President Removed
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-REMO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 52% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.