Trimmed Mean Emphasized · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that
Trimmed Mean Emphasized is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that.
Price history
14¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Trimmed Mean Emphasized
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Presser Skipped 57¢
Range
2¢-57¢
Family volume
$325
Identifier
KXFEDREFORM-27-TMEA
Jun 26, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$325
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean or median inflation measures after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXFEDREFORM-27-TMEA
Event family
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$325
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Presser Skipped 57¢
Current share
0%
Presser Skipped
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-PRES
Dot Plot Omitted
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-DPLO
Trimmed Mean Emphasized
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-TMEA
Reserve President Rejected
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-REJE
Reserve President Removed
kalshi · KXFEDREFORM-27-REMO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.