SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 3, 2026147 days left

Will Jackson Merrill record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

This contract is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

66¢
$681 volume
$571 liquidity
472% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$144

Best sibling

Will Smith 35¢

Ticker

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JMERRILL3

Market snapshot

Jackson Merrill in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Jackson Merrill record 20+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?. The displayed quote is 66¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $681. In the KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Jackson Merrill

Family rank

#5 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

66¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 3, 2026

Reported volume

$681

Family context

16 outcomes · KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20

Quote range

3¢-94¢

Family leader

Elly De La Cruz 94¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JMERRILL3. Family volume: $144.

Price history

66¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 68¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
66¢75
65¢140
62¢500
60¢180
56¢140
AskSize
68¢18
69¢1.5K
74¢68
75¢100
78¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Jackson Merrill records 20+ home runs across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 3, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSEASONHR-26C20-JMERRILL3

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

127.6%

IY (No)

481.0%

Adj IY

240%

CRI

2

Overround

18.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

127.6%
481.0%
Adj IY
240%
2
Overround
18.3%

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