SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Kim Kardashian be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 12¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$352 volume
$170 liquidity
3522% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$10

Best sibling

Bad Bunny 41¢

Ticker

KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-KIM

Price history

18¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 30¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
18¢5
17¢200
5¢84
3¢47
2¢421
AskSize
30¢200
77¢68
80¢53
81¢490
99¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Kim Kardashian is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-KIM

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

684.8%

IY (No)

33.0%

Adj IY

342%

CRI

5

Overround

5.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

684.8%
33.0%
Adj IY
342%
5
Overround
5.0%

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