Klay Thompson · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12
Klay Thompson is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXNBATRADE-27FEB12.
Price history
43¢ current
−17¢Contract brief
If Klay Thompson is traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Klay Thompson
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Brandon Ingram 85¢
Range
10¢-85¢
Family volume
$222
Identifier
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-KTHOMPSON31
Aug 25, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
30¢
24h volume
$22
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12
Closes
Feb 12, 2027
Family volume
$222
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Klay Thompson is traded after Issuance and before Feb 12, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 12, 2027
Identifier
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-KTHOMPSON31
Event family
KXNBATRADE-27FEB12.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$222
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Brandon Ingram 85¢
Current share
10%
Brandon Ingram
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-BINGRAM3
Domantas Sabonis
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DSABONIS11
Daniel Gafford
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DGAFFORD21
Dyson Daniels
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DDANIELS5
Anthony Davis
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-ADAVIS23
Andrew Wiggins
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-AWIGGINS22
Donte DiVincenzo
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DDIVINCENZO0
Derrick White
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DWHITE9
De'Aaron Fox
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DFOX4
Dejounte Murray
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DMURRAY5
Aaron Gordon
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-AGORDON32
Dillon Brooks
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DBROOKS3
Anthony Black
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-ABLACK0
Klay Thompson
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-KTHOMPSON31
Donovan Mitchell
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DMITCHELL45
DeMar DeRozan
kalshi · KXNBATRADE-27FEB12-DDEROZAN10
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.