Before August · Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before
Before August is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before.
Price history
6¢ current
−31¢Contract brief
If Lil Uzi Vert releases a new album before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before August
Rank
#5 of 5
Leader
Before 2027 71¢
Range
6¢-71¢
Family volume
$50
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI-AUG01-26
Jul 22, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$50
Family rank
#5 of 5
5 outcomes · Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$50
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lil Uzi Vert releases a new album before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI-AUG01-26
Event family
Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$50
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Before 2027 71¢
Current share
100%
Before 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI-JAN01-27
Before November
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI--26NOV01
Before October
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI-OCT01-26
Before September
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI--26SEP01
Before August
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI-AUG01-26
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.