Before October · Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before
Before October is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before.
Price history
71¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Lil Uzi Vert releases a new album before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before October
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Before 2027 81¢
Range
52¢-81¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI-OCT01-26
Jun 6, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$19
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lil Uzi Vert releases a new album before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 1, 2026
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI-OCT01-26
Event family
Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before 2027 81¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 71% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.