SimpleFunctions

Before 2027 · Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before

Before 2027 is priced at 79¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before.

Price history

79¢ current

25¢50¢75¢
Jul 4, 2026Jul 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Lil Uzi Vert releases a new album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before 2027

Rank

#1 of 5

Leader

Before 2027 71¢

Range

5¢-71¢

Family volume

$109

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI-JAN01-27

Jul 22, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

79¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 22, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

72¢

Ask

77¢

Spread

Reported volume

$417

Family rank

#1 of 5

5 outcomes · Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$109

Orderbook snapshot

72 / 77¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
72¢5
71¢500
12¢252
11¢2.1K
4¢10
AskSize
77¢5
78¢500
86¢1
94¢47
95¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Lil Uzi Vert releases a new album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASEDATEUZI-JAN01-27

SF Signal
SF Index
548.05
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new album before.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$109

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Before 2027 71¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

91.4%

IY (No)

548.0%

Adj IY

548%

CRI

2

RV

76%

VR

0.80

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

91.4%
548.0%
Adj IY
548%
2
RV
76%
VR
0.80
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
0.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.