SimpleFunctions

New Orleans · KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27

New Orleans is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27.

Price history

29¢ current

+1¢
20¢30¢
May 24, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If New Orleans wins the Pro Football NFC South Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

New Orleans

Rank

#2 of 4

Leader

Tampa Bay 31¢

Range

22¢-31¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-NO

Jun 23, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

29¢

Ask

30¢

Spread

24h volume

$311

Family rank

#2 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 30¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
29¢35
28¢137
27¢42
25¢6
24¢1.1K
AskSize
30¢15K
31¢250
32¢48
37¢297
38¢258

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If New Orleans wins the Pro Football NFC South Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-NO

SF Signal
SF Index
206.82
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Tampa Bay 31¢

Current share

36%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

413.6%

IY (No)

69.0%

Adj IY

207%

CRI

2

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

413.6%
69.0%
Adj IY
207%
2
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.