SimpleFunctions

Tampa Bay · KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27

Tampa Bay is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27.

Price history

30¢ current

1¢
30¢35¢
Jun 1, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Tampa Bay wins the Pro Football NFC South Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tampa Bay

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

Tampa Bay 30¢

Range

22¢-30¢

Family volume

$464

Identifier

KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-TB

Jun 26, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

30¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

30¢

Ask

31¢

Spread

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Family volume

$464

Orderbook snapshot

30 / 31¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
30¢411
27¢102
26¢13
21¢47
20¢10K
AskSize
31¢7.0K
32¢7.5K
33¢7.1K
34¢6
35¢16K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tampa Bay wins the Pro Football NFC South Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 25, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27-TB

SF Signal
SF Index
199.60
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLNFCSOUTH-27.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$464

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Tampa Bay 30¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

399.2%

IY (No)

73.3%

Adj IY

200%

CRI

2

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

399.2%
73.3%
Adj IY
200%
2
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.