Will Ohio St. go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?
Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will Ohio St. go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Kalshi, closing December 28, 2026. The market is pricing Ohio State's undefeated regular season at just 14¢ despite over a year until resolution, reflecting the extreme difficulty of going 12-0 in a competitive conference.
Analysis
The market is pricing Ohio State's undefeated regular season at just 14¢ despite over a year until resolution, reflecting the extreme difficulty of going 12-0 in a competitive conference. The 1155.5% implied yield on the Yes side is notably inflated due to the low price floor, but the zero 24-hour volume and modest $2,044 open interest suggest minimal liquidity and conviction behind this pricing. With a 3¢ spread and neutral regime score, this appears to be a thinly-traded market where the low probability may not fully account for Ohio State's recent competitiveness, though the cliff risk index of 8 indicates meaningful uncertainty around potential late-season developments.
Resolution rules
If Ohio St. goes undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFUNDEFEATED-26-OSU yes 100