Pete Rose · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21
Pete Rose is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21.
Price history
22¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Pete Rose has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Pete Rose
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Donald Trump Jr. 62¢
Range
8¢-62¢
Family volume
$195
Identifier
KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PROS
Sep 18, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 55m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$19
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21
Closes
Jan 21, 2029
Family volume
$195
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Pete Rose has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 21, 2029
Identifier
KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PROS
Event family
KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$195
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Donald Trump Jr. 62¢
Current share
10%
Donald Trump Jr.
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJTR
Donald Trump
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJT
Barron Trump
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR
Pete Hegseth
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PHEG
Bill Hwang
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BHWA
Eric Adams
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EADA
Derek Chauvin
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DCHA
Sean Combs
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM
Do Kwon
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DKWO
Pete Rose
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-PROS
Bob Menendez
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BMEN
Justin Sun
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JSUN
Brian Cole Jr.
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BCJ
Daniel Hale
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DHAL
Alex Mashinsky
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-AMAS
DeAndre Way
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DWAY
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.