Sean Combs · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21
Sean Combs is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21.
Price history
33¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Sean Combs has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sean Combs
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Ghislaine Maxwell 40¢
Range
1¢-40¢
Family volume
$98
Identifier
KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM
Jun 21, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
33¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$30K
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21
Closes
Jan 21, 2029
Family volume
$98
Orderbook snapshot
33 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sean Combs has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 21, 2029
Identifier
KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM
Event family
KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$98
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ghislaine Maxwell 40¢
Current share
0%
Ghislaine Maxwell
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-GMAX
Torence Hatch
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-THAT
Edward Snowden
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-ESNO
Robin Smith
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-RSMI
Sam Bankman-Fried
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SBF
Eric Adams
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-EADA
Sean Combs
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM
Derek Chauvin
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DCHA
Julian Assange
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JASS
Larry Householder
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LHOU
Joseph Maldonado
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMAL
Tou Thao
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-TTH
Matt Borges
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-MBOR
Leon Stanton
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-LSTA
Jose Muyet
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMUY
Hunter Biden
kalshi · KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-HBID
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.