Stephanie Bice · KXHOUSERACE-OK05-26
Stephanie Bice is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 90¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXHOUSERACE-OK05-26.
Price history
90¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If the House member sworn in for OK-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Stephanie Bice
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Stephanie Bice 89¢
Range
9¢-89¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXHOUSERACE-OK05-26-R
Sep 17, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
90¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXHOUSERACE-OK05-26
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
90 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the House member sworn in for OK-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXHOUSERACE-OK05-26-R
Event family
KXHOUSERACE-OK05-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Stephanie Bice 89¢
Current share
—
Stephanie Bice
kalshi · KXHOUSERACE-OK05-26-R
Jena Nelson
kalshi · KXHOUSERACE-OK05-26-D
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.