Romeu Zema · KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2
Romeu Zema is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2.
Price history
14¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Romeu Zema finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Romeu Zema
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Flávio Bolsonaro 50¢
Range
2¢-50¢
Family volume
$16
Identifier
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-RZEM
May 27, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$529
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2
Closes
Oct 4, 2027
Family volume
$16
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Romeu Zema finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 4, 2027
Identifier
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-RZEM
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 3¢, +11¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Flávio Bolsonaro 50¢
Current share
0%
Flávio Bolsonaro
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-FBOL
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-LSIL
Romeu Zema
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-RZEM
Renan Santos
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-RSAN
Ronaldo Caiado
kalshi · KXBRPRESIDENT2-BRPRES26-2-RCAI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.