ROSALÍA · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
ROSALÍA is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
Price history
4¢ current
Contract brief
If ROSALÍA has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
ROSALÍA
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Future 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ROS
Jul 16, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 51m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ROSALÍA has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ROS
Event family
KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Future 99¢
Current share
0%
Future
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-FUT
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ARI
Gracie Abrams
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-GRA
Travis Scott
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-TRA
KATSEYE
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KAT
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KEN
Charli xcx
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-XCX
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-LAN
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-JUS
Doechii
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-DOE
Alex Warren
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ALE
Lil Baby
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-BAB
YoungBoy Never Broke Again
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-YOU
ROSALÍA
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ROS
Charlie Puth
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-CHA
Chris Brown
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-CHR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.